Explaining Brazil
Today: #173 in News, Brazil on our combined chart.
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Latest episodes
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Lula re-elected, Flávio on the run
October 30, 2026 · 42 minFlávio Bolsonaro refused to accept his defeat in Brazil’s presidential runoff and left the country within 24 hours of a Supreme Court order to surrender his passports. He landed in Miami with a humanitarian stay permit, raising questions…
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A coin-flip runoff
October 20, 2026 · 37 minBrazil votes on Sunday, and the presidential runoff is now too close to call. A week and a half ago, Flávio Bolsonaro was the clear favorite. Since then, street mobilization and an unprecedented grassroots campaign have helped Lula close…
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Taking stock of an electoral shock
October 8, 2026 · 45 minLula finished Brazil's first round almost 2 points behind Flávio Bolsonaro, his weakest first-round result since 1998. Gustavo Ribeiro and historian James Green (Brown University) look at what went wrong for the president and what the…
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Brazil's economy is growing. So why isn't Lula polling better?
October 1, 2026 · 40 minBrazilians vote on Sunday, October 4, and President Lula is asking for a fourth term on the strength of his economic record. Growth averaged 3% a year, unemployment is at a record low, and real wages are rising. His approval still sits…
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Flávio Bolsonaro upsets the gods
September 30, 2026 · 28 minBrazil votes on Sunday, and the final week of the campaign has turned on religion. A rumor that a Flávio Bolsonaro government would strip Our Lady of Aparecida of her title as Brazil's patron saint has spread through Catholic circles. The…
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How to read Brazil's election polls
September 23, 2026 · 1 hr 5 minLula and Flávio Bolsonaro are statistically tied less than two weeks before Brazil's first round, and a flood of contradictory polls is feeding claims that pollsters are rigging the race. Rafael Nishimura, director of sampling operations…
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Can Brazil's Supreme Court survive an election?
September 17, 2026 · 41 minFor years, Brazil's Supreme Court picked fights with Congress and the presidency. This month it turned on itself. On September 15, the full court sat for more than seven hours to answer a question it has dodged for 130 years, and walked…
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Civil war at the Brazilian Supreme Court
September 9, 2026 · 36 minBrazil's Supreme Court is facing what may be the worst crisis in its history. Justice André Mendonça unsealed the Banco Master investigation, exposing messages between the bank's former CEO and Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Now two factions…
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The first surprise of the 2026 election
September 1, 2026 · 38 minTwo polls released Monday shook the political establishment. Augusto Cury, of the small Avante party, took third place in both: 11% in Nexus's survey, 7.8% in Atlas Intel's. The numbers force rivals and analysts to take Cury seriously for…
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What's wrong with the Brazilian Congress
August 20, 2026 · 44 minBrazil's 2026 campaign is officially underway, and almost all the attention will be on the presidential race. That's a problem, because power in Brazil is increasingly won and lost in Congress — where the budget is controlled and where any…
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A visa, a snub, and a reopened wound
August 10, 2026 · 35 minThe US State Department revoked the visa of Brazil's ambassador to Washington ( https://newsletters.brazilian.report/p/us-brazil-ambassador-viotti-argentina-russia-putin ) and said the quiet part out loud: it is retaliation for Brasília…
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Brazilian trade: Life after Washington
August 4, 2026 · 27 minThe US now takes less than 10% of Brazil's exports — the smallest share in decades — and Washington's tariff wall is accelerating a realignment that was already underway. Gustavo Ribeiro speaks with trade consultant Welber Barral, a former…

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