Government

Broken Eagle, Rising Crown: The Scenario G Monitor.

by James Warrington

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Latest episodes

Episode 7: Blockading the Blockade (Now With Added Blockade)

April 13, 2026 · 22 min

Episode 7: Blockading the Blockade (Now With Added Blockade)Episode Summary: In the international system, there is a profound gap between what a superpower states it will do and what its logistical and legal realities actually allow. This…
Bulletin: The Price of the Sea: Why the US-Iran Ceasefire is a Strategic Shift

April 8, 2026 · 16 min

The 14-day US-Iran ceasefire is dominating the headlines. The bombs have stopped, the markets are celebrating, and the immediate relief is undeniable. But are we cheering for a strategic defeat? In this episode, we unpack the chilling…
Episode 5: Systemic Rerouting and the Helsinki Signal

April 6, 2026 · 26 min

STRATEGIC MONITORING REPORT // UPDATE 2026-04-06PROJECT: Broken Eagle, Rising Crown PHASE: The Monitor (Episode 5) SUBJECT: Systemic Rerouting and the Helsinki Signal EXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe international system has stopped functioning as…
Episode 4: Global Survival After the American Retreat

April 6, 2026 · 23 min

By the 2030s, the crisis had become the baseline. The international system didn't collapse, but it didn't recover either. In this final episode of the scenario review, we examine a world where stabilization is a daily procedural effort…
Episode 3: Holding the Perimeter

April 4, 2026 · 20 min

With the old alliance structures fractured, a new, functional solution emerged by late 2026: the Sovereign Security Covenant (SSC). Discover how European nations accommodated without aligning, how global supply chains were secured without…

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Episode 2: Military Survival Under Scenario G

April 4, 2026 · 12 min

As the cracks in the Washington guarantee deepened, Whitehall activated Scenario G—a quiet, pragmatic contingency plan to keep the lights on and the supply chains running. Explore how the UK shifted toward regional coordination, force…
Episode 1: How to Break an Alliance Without Leaving It

April 4, 2026 · 22 min

What happens when the central pillar of global security doesn't collapse, but simply stops holding the line? In this opening episode, we trace the critical window between January 2025 and April 2026. There were no shredded treaties or…

Full episode archive on Apple Podcasts →

About the show

What happens to global security when the person in charge stops showing up? For eighty years, the world relied on one assumption: that the United States would act as the central guarantor of trade and defence. This podcast tracks the moment that assumption failed. Through the lens of Scenario G—a real-world contingency framework—we examine a decade of institutional adaptation. From the collapse of the Atlantic alliance to the rise of the Sovereign Security Covenant, we explore how mid-tier powers like the UK, France, and Japan managed to stabilize a world without a hegemon. No drama, no villains—just the cold logic of survival. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.