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The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary

by Mike Goodman and Michael Caley

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The Pivot Podcast: Full Episodes

Latest episodes

The Premier League has a Manchester City problem and no easy route to solve it

October 13, 2026 · 53 min

The Liverpool-City match threw this problem into relief. Everyone knows some kind of punishment is coming for Manchester City, and probably an enormous one. But what happens to the 2026-27 season that is now being played under the…
Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappe, the Ballon d'Or race, and why none of it makes sense

October 7, 2026 · 38 min

People expect that Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, and Kylian Mbappe are the favorites to win the Ballon d'Or. We go into some depth on what that means: how do you win the Ballon d'Or, who votes on it, and what criteria they are encouraged to…
Emergency Pod: Manchester City and the 114 out of 115 charges

September 26, 2026 · 45 min

It is reported that the Premier League's indepedent panel has ruled that Manchester City committed 114 breaches of league rules. The Double Pivot has been covering this story for nearly a decade and we do not plan to stop. We explain under…
Does the PL midtable start at third place?

September 25, 2026 · 40 min

We have tables to sort and Caley has a toy model and some thoughts on regression. It is time to talk about City and Arsenal at the top of the table, why they're the best teams in the league but what concerns the early numbers reveal, and…
Is the Meat Wall Cooked? and other early season observations

September 15, 2026 · 41 min

We take a look at the early season data on set pieces and whether things feel different because they are different, or whether set pieces are still due for a big comeback. And then it's on to Arsenal: are they just the same? Liverpool…

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The Champions League Top 10

September 9, 2026 · 35 min

We talk briefly about some of the very best teams in the world and why Barcelona and Real Madrid are currently rated about equally with Arsenal, PSG and Bayern Munich, why City look one step back, and then we work through the more…
Transfer Roundup Part I: City's Midfield Rebuild, Bruno at Arsenal

September 4, 2026 · 37 min

Manchester City spent an enormous amount of money on three midfielders. We have already sufficiently raved about Elliot Anderson, but we are nonplussed about Enzo Fernandez, an excellent player whose usage has been notably odd over time…
Xabi Alonso's Chelsea Might Be Crazy

September 1, 2026 · 34 min

Two exceptionally strange opening matches for Chelsea, two back and forth high scoring matches where Chelsea mostly conceded possession with a lead, but both deserved wins, and both featuring a new thing under the sun in a "box and one"…
Premier League Week One: Spreadsheets vs Eye Test

August 27, 2026 · 45 min

Caley didn't watch the games because he was off the grid. Goodman managed to watch despite being in the middle of a move. But as befits the whole deal of this podcast, it isn't so much about how these two methods disagree as piecing…
Premier League Season Preview Draft: Part I

August 17, 2026 · 51 min

The Double Pivot Premier League season preview draft is back. We draft our top ten. All the big teams are here. Caley cheated and built a toy model and it has some unexpected picks. We discuss why few of these teams have overwhelmed us…
Premier League Dominance? Private Equity In Europe? The Uncertain New Football Economy

August 14, 2026 · 38 min

Why have so many of the top signings this summer been within the Premier League? Why does the Premier League keep winning the Europa and Conference Leagues? The reason is simply that the Premier League has more money and the reason for…
Infantin-Out? The FIFA private equity scandal and what comes next

August 4, 2026 · 44 min

Huge FIFA news post World Cup as Gianni Infantino attempted to sell off shares in the World Cup in a very dubious deal, saw it collapse amid stern resistance from UEFA, and is suddenly facing a potential vote of no confidence. Is it…