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The National Security Podcast
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The Assessment
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July 16, 2026 · 33 minIn episode two of The Assessment, our experts revisit the Hague summit pledge of 5% of GDP on defence by 2035 one year on and ask whether it's already fiscally out of reach for key NATO members. Host Charlie Edwards is joined by Fenella…
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The Assessment
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About the show
The Assessment podcast examines the geopolitical questions that matter most. Each episode opens with an AI-generated probability forecast, which a panel of leading experts then interrogates - testing the assumptions, weighing the evidence and probing the limits of what forecasting can reliably tell us.
The Assessment podcast show is hosted by Charlie Edwards, Senior Fellow for Strategy & National Security; Head of Analytics, Six Analytic. The podcast is produced by the IISS Crowd Forecasting, Collective Intelligence and Strategic Risks programme and supported by Acacia.
For more information, visit https://www.iiss.org/
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